Color Farm Impact · The Dharma Project

The Suppression Weight · Durham

Sourced data
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Dharma verdict

66–76. Undervalued, at the margin.

Recommendation: watch. A gap of +12 — residual sourced suppression, real but modest. Monitor the conditions that would widen or close it. (Gap +12)

What's holding the 59 down

Home-appraisal devaluation

+5.0

Mortgage-denial gap at equal income

+3.9

Urban-renewal / Durham Freeway severance residual

+2.8

CC 59 + uplift +12LV 66–76

Current Conditions 59 + sourced suppression +12 = Latent Value 66–76. Click any factor to see the receipt.

Capital × Community Trust

Amber dot = Durham · dot size = latent gap (LV − CC) · click any dot to open its report.

Trust is a core axis of this thesis, not a footnote. High capital with low trust is exactly the pattern the Suppression Weight is built to surface — the Dharma Zone is where capital and trust move together.

LATENTlow capital · high trust

Trust is high but capital hasn’t arrived yet — the upside the thesis chases.

DHARMA ZONEhigh capital · high trust

Capital and community trust move together — the healthy target state.

SUPPRESSEDlow capital · low trust

Both capital and trust are held down — the starting condition suppression creates.

EXTRACTIVEhigh capital · low trust

Money is flowing in but the community doesn’t trust it — value is pulled out, not built.

v1 placeholder calibration (rho=0.80, ceiling=100). No headlineBand pinned (no external pitch value supplied); the engine derives the band from mean confidence. cc=59 is grounded in Durham County's Census ACS median household income sitting near the national median, plus an unusually large share of stable professional/managerial employment for a mid-sized Southern county driven by Duke University, Duke Health, UNC Health, and Research Triangle Park anchor employers, and a historically-rooted Black middle-class civic/banking base (NC Mutual Life Insurance, Mechanics and Farmers Bank, Hayti, NCCU) — a reasonably well-served community, not a suppression showcase. quadrant.capital/trust are a qualitative placement, refine with the content owner. Four candidate factors were researched and dropped under the kill rule as near-baseline once income/regional-baseline is controlled for: CDC PLACES health outcomes (Durham's Duke/UNC Health-driven healthcare-hub effect keeps outcomes close to or better than the NC state baseline), EPA EJScreen environmental burden (no pronounced siting/pollution-burden pattern in Durham's Black neighborhoods comparable to Bankhead or Prince George's County), CFPB Credit Invisibles (Durham's established Black banking legacy and homeownership base do not match the credit-invisible profile), and Census undercount (no material undercount residual beyond typical urban-tract variance for a university/research-hub county) — see docs/dharma-lens-v2/places/durham-nc.md for the full kill-rule notes.