✦ Dharma Lens ✦ V2
Color Farm Impact · The Dharma Project

The Suppression Weight · Mission District, San Francisco

Sourced data
Confidential
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+3LATINO+2ELLIS+1RENT-BURDEN+1COMMUNITYMISSION DISTRICT76↓79–89
Dharma verdict
79–89. Undervalued, at the margin.
Recommendation: watch. A gap of +8 — residual sourced suppression, real but modest. Monitor the conditions that would widen or close it. (Gap +8)
What's holding the 76 down
Latino population displacement
+3.0
Ellis Act eviction pressure
+2.2
Rent-burden disparity
+1.5
Community cohesion erosion
+1.4
CC 76  +  uplift +8LV 79–89
Current Conditions 76 + sourced suppression +8 = Latent Value 79–89. Click any factor to see the receipt.
Capital × Community Trust

Amber dot = Mission District, San Francisco · dot size = latent gap (LV − CC) · click any dot to open its report.

Trust is a core axis of this thesis, not a footnote. High capital with low trust is exactly the pattern the Suppression Weight is built to surface — the Dharma Zone is where capital and trust move together.

LATENTlow capital · high trust

Trust is high but capital hasn’t arrived yet — the upside the thesis chases.

DHARMA ZONEhigh capital · high trust

Capital and community trust move together — the healthy target state.

SUPPRESSEDlow capital · low trust

Both capital and trust are held down — the starting condition suppression creates.

EXTRACTIVEhigh capital · low trust

Money is flowing in but the community doesn’t trust it — value is pulled out, not built.

v1 placeholder calibration (rho=0.80, ceiling=100). No headlineBand pinned (no external pitch value supplied); the engine derives the band from mean confidence. cc=76 is grounded in Census ACS data showing Mission District (94110) median home values and median gross rents among the highest in the United States, reflecting a real-estate market that has fully (over-)capitalized the neighborhood. quadrant.capital/trust are a qualitative placement, refine with the content owner: capital (82) reflects the Mission's fully-captured, high-value real-estate market; trust (35) reflects the documented displacement of the incumbent Latino community (population-share decline, Ellis Act eviction clustering, rent-burden disparity, and eroded community cohesion), placing the Mission in the high-capital/low-trust EXTRACTIVE quadrant outside the Dharma Zone. Four candidate suppression-factor domains were researched and dropped under the kill rule as near-baseline or structurally inverted for the now-affluent Mission: environmental burden / food access (no EPA EJScreen flag or USDA food-desert designation for the now grocery-dense, high-investment corridor), credit invisibility / predatory lending (HMDA data for Mission-area tracts show denial rates at or below the citywide average, consistent with the area's current high-income, high-credit-quality applicant pool), housing-appraisal bias / redlining legacy (the historical HOLC grade no longer predicts a valuation gap; the market has overshot into overvaluation, the structural opposite of a suppressed-value pattern), and data undercount (the area is now densely surveyed given intense real-estate and investment attention, the opposite of an under-counted community) — see docs/dharma-lens-v2/places/mission-district.md for the full kill-rule notes. Over-representation shown as low latent gap + extractive quadrant; the engine does not model LV<CC (over-valuation).