Color Farm Impact · The Dharma Project

The Suppression Weight · South Ward / Ironbound, Newark

Sourced data
Confidential
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+12ENVIRONMENTAL+9ECONOMIC+8LEAD-IN-WATER+6HIGHWAY+7HEALTH+3DATASOUTH WARD / IRONBOUND246474
Dharma verdict
6474. Suppressed, not low.
Recommendation: invest. A gap of +45 held down by sourced, addressable conditions. The gap is the return. (Gap +45)
What's holding the 24 down
Environmental burden (Ironbound)
+11.9
Economic suppression / redlining legacy (South Ward)
+8.8
Lead-in-water crisis
+8.3
Highway displacement & 1967 uprising disinvestment
+5.7
Health outcome gap
+6.8
Data undercount (low)
+3.3
CC 24  +  uplift +45LV 6474
Current Conditions 24 + sourced suppression +45 = Latent Value 6474. Click any factor to see the receipt.
Capital × Community Trust

Amber dot = South Ward / Ironbound, Newark · dot size = latent gap (LV − CC) · click any dot to open its report.

Trust is a core axis of this thesis, not a footnote. High capital with low trust is exactly the pattern the Suppression Weight is built to surface — the Dharma Zone is where capital and trust move together.

LATENTlow capital · high trust

Trust is high but capital hasn’t arrived yet — the upside the thesis chases.

DHARMA ZONEhigh capital · high trust

Capital and community trust move together — the healthy target state.

SUPPRESSEDlow capital · low trust

Both capital and trust are held down — the starting condition suppression creates.

EXTRACTIVEhigh capital · low trust

Money is flowing in but the community doesn’t trust it — value is pulled out, not built.

v1 placeholder calibration (rho=0.80, ceiling=100). No headlineBand pinned (no external pitch value supplied); the engine derives the band from mean confidence. cc=24 reflects Newark's citywide income ratio to Essex County/New Jersey (roughly 40-51%) set toward the lower end of that range to reflect the compounding severity of a federally significant Superfund site, a co-located incinerator and regional sewage plant, a proven and litigated lead-in-water infrastructure failure, and documented HOLC redlining — landing this record alongside Camden (23) and Gary/East St. Louis (24) rather than the milder end of the seeded set. quadrant.capital/trust are a qualitative placement, refine with the content owner. Two candidate factors were researched and dropped under the kill rule rather than shipped: (1) a standalone field-intelligence community-distrust index (police-community relations post-1967, medical-system distrust) is plausible but no sourced Newark-specific trust survey/index was located in this research pass, so it was dropped as a sourcing gap rather than invented, reflected only in the qualitative quadrant.trust placement; (2) a 'Reach / Cultural Signal' factor tied to the Ironbound's nationally known Portuguese and Brazilian restaurant corridor and its annual Portugal Day festival was considered but no sourced, quantifiable royalty/ownership-capture or tourism-revenue-retention dataset was found, so it was dropped rather than invented — see docs/dharma-lens-v2/places/newark-south-ward-ironbound.md for the full kill-rule notes.